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NFL PLAYOFFS: WEEK 1 and PICKS

07 Jan

My apologies for not posting last weekend, I was swamped with both work and school. I do hope that like me you bet the house on the Money Line on the Giants in the big Giants v. Cowboys game and won big, I know I did. And although it pains me to bet against my beloved Cowboys, until they change the very things that I had highlight at the beginning of the year, i.e. the Offensive Line and Defensive-Backs, this team will sadly continue to disappoint year after year. I remember 7 years ago when I was in under-grad, I wrote an impassioned letter to Jerry Jones and the Cowboys brass begging them to get rid of Terrance Newman because even back then it seemed like every big play was put up on his ass. Lets hope that after 9 seasons this is finally the year he gets his walking papers.

Anyway I have so more work to do (yes I know even on Saturday, so lets get right to the picks)

Gold Pick-Giants -3 over the Falcons

Other then their beating of the Cowboys, this is the easiest Giants game to call all season. Yes they have beaten teams with worse records than the Flacons, but the Giants are finally at full strength, have momentum and of course, the Falcons as I have said for years are a “fake” team in that they never beat good teams and always lose when ti matters in a big game.  If the spread scares you, bet the moneyline and prepare to count your millions….as long as you bet several millions more.

 

Silver Pick-Bengals +4 over Texans

The Texans have zero momentum right now and other then the fact they are playing at home they do not have a ton going for them other than their run game (although that has been suspect of late). Cincy looks good, except for Dalton’s rookie factor, but the Texans QB situation is no prize either with Yates (or worse Delhomme) at the healm. Bet on Cincy, and take the points.

 

Bronze Pick-Denver +8 over Pittsburgh

Don’t get me wrong, I think the Steelers win this game no question. But the spread is hectic given that this is the playoffs, the Broncos manage to stay close and the fact that Rothelesberger (sp?) is gimpy. Denver is also a great home team with a wicked natural advantage (just ask that Steelers player who had to get his spleen and gallbladder removed because of the altitude. Seriously how as this story not been everywhere). my adivce? bet on the Broncos, but you can hedge your bet if you want with the Steelers money line.

BONUS PLAYOFF PICK-Lions +10.5 over NO

I don’t like anything about this pick because Drew Brees is on fire. But the Saints lost badly in the first round of the playoffs last year, and I could see Detroit who has a better defense, keeping it to within ten. Therefore while I don’t like the pick, as long as Stafford plays the game and doesn’t get hrut, I can see the Lions handling their business and winning this game.

Good luck!!

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