Ok so a bit of a rough start to the season. The Patriots of course manhandled the Titans, but the other two picks were wrong. IN my defense however, I had no idea Miami would totally implode the way they did against Houston despite by in the game for so long and Peyton Manning’s neck actually making it through a whole game was a shocker. Oh any my sincere apologies for not making a make-up pick by posting that San Diego would trounce Oakland. San Diego for a s shaky as Rivers was last season, never losses in September, so my bad.
Anyway, I will vow to do better. Vow. I still made money on the weekend by betting big on the Patriots (and I hope you did too), but there is no excuse for going 1-2 in my predictions {who am I Bill Simmons (what was with him picking Seattle to make it to the Superbowl??!??) or Peter King?? j/k, actually well..}. This is an incredibly tough week in terms of making picks as I did not see any games that hugely jumped out at me, so if you bet I am warning you to bet small…
Anyway here are the picks..
BRONZE PICK
Kansas City +3 over the Bills
I can’t believe the Bills are favoured to win over anyone, especially after the beat down they took last week even if they are playing at home. I know KC has some holes and are playing on the road, but +3 are you serious? Not only that but Nelson is gone for the season, Jackson is gone for 3 weeks and Trent Edwards has something like 19 picks in ten games!! Again not a huge week to bet, but bet this one if you got the gambling itch.
SILVER PICK
New England -13.5 over Arizona
I am glad the experts in Vegas finally realized that the Patriots are back to vintage 2007 mode, but I am never a huge fan of going with the double digit point spread. The Patriots are super solid but what if Kolb actually has one good game in two years, what if whatever running back they are going with comes to play, what if Larry Fitzgerald has some magic late. You can bet that the Patriots will win this game, but -13.5 is tough. Well, not that tough given that the Cards look terrible, but again I am not a huge fan of the double digit point deficit when it comes to the spread. I am betting on the Pats regardless, and if you have no reservations about the spread then by all means bet on the Pats winning big.
GOLD PICK
New Orleans -1 over Carolina
Yes, I was just as shocked as you that the Saints lost week and even more shocked by RG3′s performance. However, the Saints can win this one. I know often when it goes, especially in the NFL, it goes quickly but is the Saints Drew Brees era really gone? Yes Sean Peyton is no longer on the sidelines this season, but I have faith that the Saints will bounce back from the heartbreaking loss last week and come to play this week. If they lose though, watch out Saints fans.
BONUS PICK
Balitmore +2.5 over Philly
To make up for my BS last week, I am offering up this bonus pick. Philly is probably down Maclin and Jackson for this one and Philly looked absolutely brutal against Cleveland last week. The Ravens however appear to be firing on all cylinders and already appear to be in midseason form. I don’t like that this game is in Philly, but its still juicy to get the points because I think Baltimore wins this game outright.
Good luck to all…
