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NFL PICKS: PLAYOFFS-WEEK 2

08 Jan

 

Well that was fun. Going 2-1 After not having made picks since week 2 are a solid way to get back in the fold. The only thing better going? Well, if I went 3-0. The problem is that Ryan Lindley is atrocious, and so atrocious in fact that his team mustered less than 90 yards on the day and he had some of the most atrocious turnovers in the red-zone this side of Eli Manning. However, I will still defend the pick because even despite the atrocious play of the Arizona offence, they were still in a position to take the game, or at least cover the spread, with their defense. Anyway no sense spending any more time on spoiled milk, let’s get to the picks.

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

BRONZE PICK

Colts (+7) OVER DENVER

It might just be me, but Peyton Manning has looked really shaky over the last few weeks. Yes, Denver has been relying more on the run of late which is great for a team looking to make noise in the playoffs, but something is going on and my skunk detector is going off. Peyton Manning has looked especially vulnerable of late and maybe the high altitude and cold of Denver is finally taking its toll on him. Plus, Julius Thomas has been less than useless over the last 5 weeks and a year ago he was Manning’s best weapon (he also led the league in touchdown receptions until he got hurt this year as well).  Again, Manning has been saved with the solid running game of CJ Anderson and the defense is much improved over last year, but the team is old and if someone were to get injured in the secondary look for the Colts to take advantage and probably win outright. However, I still have trouble envisioning Luck getting blown out against his predecessor in a game of this magnitude. Tom Brady might be able to blow Luck out of the water, but I doubt Manning and his suspect playoff record can.

SILVER PICK

Cowboys (+6) OVER PACKERS

First, I would like to clear something up; The fix was not in and the refs did not have it in for Detroit. For three quarters Detroit was getting every single call including the roughing the passer call in the first half which ended up giving them a 14-0 lead and Dallas got not such mirror call when its own punter was mangled while punting later in the game. Although I am a Cowboys fan I saw the questionable play in real time I thought it was a BS flag, and yet another one that benefited Detroit. Yes, the Dallas defender did not turn around, but he barely touched the receiver at all. However, if I was a ref and Dez Bryant charged the field to protest I would definitely have thrown a flag for that. But since Dallas should not have a penalty on that play, Dez would not have stormed the field so in essence there should have been nothing to penalize in that sequence of events. Plus, give me a break because as a Dallas fan with the numerous brutalizing defeats I have been forced to live through I could use one. Anyway, this game seems right up Dallas’ alley because whereas Detroit is a nightmare matchup, pass-rush and tremendous talent at receiver, Green Bay is slightly better because everything flows through one man for them, Aaron Rodgers. Plus the fact that Rodgers is now hurt aids Dallas and their improving pass rush because now they might actually get to Rodgers. I think this combination will lead to Rodgers throwing his first pick at Lambeau and propel Dallas to at least a competitive game. Another factor that could help Dallas’ is Romo returning home, a fact I do not hear anyone talking about. Players who return to their hood usually step up and play some of their best ball as evident by Stafford last week and the awful Colt McCoy earlier in the year when they returned home to Dallas. Dallas has been great on the road all year and with Romo returning home and used to playing in the cold, Dallas could very well make this a competitive game if not (dare I say) win outright. Ok there, I just jinxed it. Ok please Dallas just cover the spread.

GOLD PICK

Ravens (+7) OVER  PATRIOTS

If the Lions are a match-up problem for the Cowboys, the Ravens are a match-up problem for the Patriots except that the Patriots are a very good team (ok have I sufficiently taken the jinx off the Cowboys yet??) While the media loves to dap the Patriots, and they are a phenomenal regular season time, they have not done won a title in over 8 seasons. Post 2005 Brady’s woes are similar to Manning and a team like the Ravens (or Giants) really gives him problems up front. Baltimore has serious mojo coming into the playoffs and especially after their road win in Pittsburgh last week. Although the Patriots are much improved on the defensive side of the ball, I seriously question their run game and for anyone outside of Gronkowski to put up points through the air. Fortunately for the Patriots, the Ravens secondary is shaky, but I also believe that they should do enough to at least hold the Patriots to the spread. Back to the Patriots defense, while it is improved, it is not really a scoring defense so as long as Baltimore can hold up the Pat’s receivers and run the ball to take time off the clock there is a good chance they can win this game outright. There is said it.

 

GOOD LUCK AND PLEASE GAME RESPONSIBLY

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NFL PICKS: WEEK-PLAYOFFS WEEK 1

02 Jan

 

NFL PICKS: WEEK-PLAYOFFS WEEK 1

 

While there are not enough words to explain my absence, I will profusely apologize to anyone who wanted picks from me this year. In all honesty I do not know how things got so bad, but one week slow balled to the next and before I knew it the regular season was over and all I had to offer was some less than stellar week 1 and week 2 picks. But as I said never bet on the first few weeks of the NFL season, but as we all saw things were back to normal with the Patriots and Broncos on top in the AFC and the Packers and Seahawks leading the way in the NFC. The exception, that my beloved and perennially spastic Cowboys came out of nowhere to finish 12-4, win the division, and prove a lot of people who thought they wouldn’t even win 6 games wrong. And while I am in that group of doubters despite my love for the Cowboys, I can only imagine what they would have done with a defense, although this years squad somehow had an incredible bounce back over last year so I will just end the critiques here.

 

But ok enough talk, here are the picks… HOME TEAM IN CAPS

 

 

 

BRONZE PICK

 

COLTS (-3.5) OVER Bengals

 

This game is tough. Partially because the Colts have look incredibly suspect of late, but also because the Bengals manage to throw together a decent performance just when you think its time to give up on them. In essence they are the Colt McCoy of the NFL (on a side note, how is Colt McCoy not J.D. McCoy from Friday Night Lights? They are mirror images right down to the overbearing dad right? Yes Colt McCoy’s dad I saw you celebrating a little too hard with your wife in the press box in Cowboys stadium, just know your son is only going to get those garbage wins against my Cowboys so hear’s to the one win your kid gets a year to keep him relevant in the NFL). However, the Colts have looked awful against winning teams this year and they are long way from beating up another hapless opponent from their division. That being said, the Bengals are still the Bengals and have not won a primetime and/or meaningful game under Andy Dalton plus they were destroyed by the Colts earlier in the year. This game is a difficult game because it will depend on which Bengals team will show up, but given their performances in important games under Dalton and AJ Green’s potential absence I would have to go with the Colts on this one. If you want a surer bet do the smart thing and just take the Moneyline on the Colts winning this one. Say what you will about Andrew Luck and his trunovers, but he has the championship mettle to win games when he shouldn’t .

 

SILVER PICK

 

Cardinals (+6.5) OVER PANTHERS

 

Look, I know the Cardinals have no QB and have not for some time now. I get that Ryan Lindley is awful and is somehow even worse than the back-up who replaced Palmer before he went down. But this is the NFL and in the NFL a good defense is enough to get you a win even if its on the road. And while the Cardinals are hurting from their injuries and have not been as stout on defense as they have in the past (especially against the run of late), but they are 11-5 and taking on a sub .500 team who are only in the playoffs due to the NFLs terrible formatting issues. Even if I went out there as QB for the Cardinals they could not lose this game by more than 6.5. Yes the Panthers are running well of late with Newton healthy and Stewart looking great, but give me break ‘Zona, this is a game you can win even without a QB and with a washed up Larry Fitzgerald. Feel confident, take the points and in Carson Palmer’s memory do trust.

 

GOLD PICK

 

Lions (+7) OVER COWBOYS

 

While everyone knows how much I love the Cowboys, I hope they also know I am not stupid. I have watch Cowboys games for twenty years now and in those twenty years the last fifteen have told me that you never ever take the Cowboys in a must win game and you certainly do not take them giving up 7 points! Even without Suh there was no way the Cowboys and their atrocious (yet still improved) air defense can slow down a team with a healthy Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate. Yes, Golden Tate maybe not be a top 25 receiver but with the double team of Johnson coming there is no one on the Cowboys who can cover Tate or any non-infirmed NFL wideout 1 on 1. With Suh in the game it will be up to Romo to rely on the air to get the job done and the only hope for a victory is for him to not implode in the playoffs (tough) and the Dallas air-D to step-up and shut down the pass (next to impossible). I’m not saying Dallas cannot win this game, because they can if the stars align, but there is no way in this universe that the Cowboys win a playoff game by more than 7 points unless someone poisons the Lions  or Suh goes on a rampage and steps on Calvin Johnson’s face while simultaneously breaking the arms of  Golden Tate. NO WAY!! BET THE HOUSE, Lions +7!

 

Enjoy and please game responsibly.  

 

 

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NFL PICKS-WEEK 3

21 Sep

My apologies for the late week 3 picks with only a few minutes until game time and also my apologies for not posting any week 2 picks. However, at least in relation to the latter I can state that the reason I did not was because after going 2-5 in week 1 and knowing that the first few NFL weeks are shakey (i.e. the Pats and Saints both losing despite being up by 10 at the half in week 1) I decided to give a break on week 2. However I am back and there are certainly some juice lines. I don’t have time to talk about them and am just posting my picks. Good Luck. I would however mention if you really want a sure thing and you don’t care about putting up more in order to win less, the money line on the Saints this week is the surest thing there can be in the World today.

 

 

 Pick 1

29:57am 17-Sep-1410:00am 21-Sep-14American Football
HandicapSan Diego Chargers (+2.5) vs Buffalo Bills for Game.  1.98021.0020.59Pending4007

 Pick 2

39:57am 17-Sep-1410:00am 21-Sep-14American Football
HandicapGreen Bay Packers (+2.5) vs Detroit Lions for Game.  1.98021.0020.59Pending4007

 Pick 3

49:57am 17-Sep-141:25pm 21-Sep-14American Football
HandicapDenver Broncos (+5) vs Seattle Seahawks for Game.  1.94321.0019.81Pending

 

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NFL 2014 PICKS-WEEK 1

07 Sep

 

OK so kick-off is a less then 20 mintues away but I felt like I had to post something since I forgot to post my Superbowl pick and thankfully the Seahawks thrashed the Broncos so a good day was had by all (well me).

Anyway here are the picks HOWEVER I will say that given that its week 1 it is better to bet on teams rather then the spread given that kinks are not ironed out yet on the good teams yet and bad teams are for probably the only team all season not currently in possession of a losing record so have confidence. So be smart and bet teams.

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

PICKS

SEAHAWKS (-6) OVER Packers

Aaron Rodgers is the most overrated player in the NFL. There it is, I said it. It is time it was said. Going back three seasons (including this one) Rogers has started super slow (burying fantasy teams in the process) and last year he was injured for much of it. Plus Green Bay’s shaky run game and questionable defense which seems to always wiff in big games and the line in this one should be much higher for a Seahawks team that still has a chip in their shoulder. I didn’t get this bet in on time but was shocked when I saw this line.

 

Patriots (WIN) OVER DOLPHINS

Although I am quite confifdent the Pats will win this game especially with their revitalized defense. However, like I said previously I would only advise taking the win here. Yes you will win less but let the good team work out the kinks, and then run the profits on them next week. THe line however is -3.5 for the Pats so if you insist feel ok about it. But be smart and take points.

BUCS (WIN) OVER Panthers

Cam Newton is out, but no matter this should be a win for the much improved Bucs.

49ers (WIN) OVER COWBOYS

I love the Cowboys, but they suck. More specifically their defense was the worst in the NFL last year is only poised to get worse. Dallas is on track to have the worst defense in the history of the NFL and with that in place it is hard to envision betting on them in any capacity. However, SF is hurting and there are tons of problems in the front office. Dallas playing in the first game of the season has been good in past years and they could through everything they have the 49ers…and just lose.

Saints (WIN) OVER FALCONS

This could be the lock of the week and the spread is manageable. However, this is a big game for the Falcons and it will test whether their performance last year was a fluke or not (it was not the Falcons are over hyped). Same reasons as above bet the team in week 1.

 

ALSO

If you have some cash left over or don’t wanna bet on the Bucs this week, go out and bet on the Pats to win the AFC this year. I think Denver flops late and Indy isn’t there yet (although they could also rep the AFC) but be smart and put a couple fazools on the Pats to rep the AFC.

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The End of “Feminism”-By Samir Nawaz

11 Jun

Time magazine and I have a had a very rough go over the last few years. The magazine has been on thin-ice ever since it ran this bizarre article about weight loss having next to nothing to do with exercise http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1914974,00.html and then followed that gem up with how little has changed in the last fifty years while completely ignoring things like, I don’t know, the advent of the internet, the rise of social media, the abundance of new technologies (including of course new categories of technologies never seen before), the revolution in bio-technologies and the emergences of new pharmaceuticals and medical treatment to the point where once life threatening afflictions like HIV and cancer(certain forms) are now quite manageable (but of course, the money is in the treatment not the cure, hence the billion dollar drug market as opposed to eradication).

However, when I recently read a new article http://ideas.time.com/2014/01/02/men-are-obsolete/ by renowned “feminist” table slammer Hanna Rosin, I decided to throw in the towel and decided to bid farewell to Time magazine once and for all. Has Time lost the luster and prestige it once had? If it has (as I suspect) perhaps in a desperate stab at a return to the glory days, the brass at Time feel that instead of  focus on informative, creative and maybe even counter-culture stories which challenge both the human mind and the current state of the human condition to get back their readers, they will resort to shock writing designed to boost sales and increase clicks. Unfortunately, as Tom Green will tell you, this strategy can work well for a while, but if there is no substance or soul to what you are doing, your target audience will eventually reject you in droves.

On that point I will return to the “feminist” piece by “feminist” Hanna Rosin. Although new words are included, old words re-arranged and the example of Rob Ford is included in order to provide a shining example of modern man (because of course all men today smoke crack, what you didn’t know?), the piece is not much more than another “feminist” hate-rant against men, or as Ms. Ronsin describes it, what the term “man” used to stand for in her mind. Her “feminist” piece is therefore called “Men are Obsolete.”

By this now you must be asking yourself do why I keep putting the word “feminist” in quotation marks? The reason is quite simple, because I do not understand what feminism has become and I do not agree with how modern “feminists” are using an important movement and ideology meant to empower women in order to push their own agenda and misguided ideals and in turn, poison the true feminist movement as a whole.

For me, and throughout all my years of education and experience, feminism was supposed to be a movement that sought to ensure equal opportunities in education and employment while simultaneously protecting a woman’s right to choose and make her own informed decisions. A feminist is someone therefore who promotes these ideals and fights for the cause of women. As such I did not come to understand that “feminists” were to turn a movement that was to be such a positive and tool of empowerment, into a platform to create misguided and sweeping generalization about men, and to do so in a manner that is at best non-humorous and at worst (and all to often) hate-speech against the other half of human race. I also thought feminism was to be the tool that would empower not only woman, but men as well and be the means to which both men and women would  cooperate and thrive in a symbiotic relation (happily) to the end of time.

Due to what has transpired of late in our culture, I have two fundamental problems with “feminist” Ronsin’s work and all “feminists” like her whose self-service and erroneous guidance have undercut such a promising tool of empowerment and hope. My concerns can be deduced to questions which I am hoping even the most (mis)informed “feminist” will be able to answer. 

Today’s “feminist” goes to great lengths to announce that woman have arrived and that they have already overtaken men in many of the most quantifiable measures of success like income, university degrees, positions of leadership (which is truly fantastic by the way). As such, my question to the “feminists” out there is why if you have accomplished what you have set out to do, why are you still around? Does the athlete remain on the court after they hit the winning shot and the trophy has been given out? Do people remain in the courtroom if the landmark victory has been achieved and the judge has left the building? Do soldiers still shoot off their guns when the war has been won? The answer of course is no, so why are you? More politely though, if your fight against men has been won, why are you still selling yourself to the public? If the state of women is better than it ever was and woman are achieving at greater rates than their male counter parts, why are today’s “feminist” so angry, obnoxious and desperate  to convince the public that they still have something novel to sell say? Maybe the answer has something to do with the fact that there is still something important left to be done, or maybe even, the manner of the fight was so misguided that the alleged victory is so hollow.

This of course leads to my next question, why, if today’s feminist have proclaimed victory, is the World and dynamics between men and women both in such terrible shape? I offer the proposition, that although there was a much needed push to ensure that women had equal opportunities, rights and protections, in sum genuinely more empowerment, that the path taken to achieve this end was not the ideal one. For example, although women as a whole have attained many wonderful benchmarks, many needed goals and aspirations, perhaps many things along the way were missed, and the path taken the incorrect one. As such, perhaps today’s brand of feminism as envisioned by the “feminists” is quite incomplete.

In assessing the aftermath, it would appear that the critical flaw in the direction modern feminism took, was that it blindly sought to give women the same opportunities and equality as men, by turning women into men. The thought could have been well intentioned in that in order to get the same rights and opportunities as men, perhaps women should copy the “man-formula” in its entirety and thus the same brand of feeling, thinking and acting will yield the same results. The problem however with this turning women into men approach however is what happens when that which you are emulating is deeply flawed to begin with? If you copy it, although you are attempting to replicate certain desired results, are you not also doubling the problem? Put it simply, do you not end up with two Frankensteins instead of one?

The author of the Time magazine piece herself praises how aggressive, violent and sexually promiscuous confident women have become, but at the end of the day, I honestly ask is it a good thing to now have two flawed sexes instead of one? Add to this man’s inherent superficial, uncaring and materialistic nature and are we then not left with a generation of women who care nothing but for themselves, have only the most tempermental  and precarious of allegiances, value themselves so little that they sexually devalue themselves at every turn with reckless bed hoping only to think their new found self-loathing, low self-esteem, and low self-worth can be reconciled with a trip to Louis Vuitton or Manolo Blanikh?

To this day I am puzzled and saddened by how the shallow, flakey, materialistic, and self-centered world pioneered by Carrie Bradshaw and perfected by Hannah Horvath not only exist, but are actually praised as being some kind of feminist accomplishment. To the people who might say lighten up they are just light fiction, I say that I cannot because shockingly the prominence of the women and ideas depicted on these shows are not only on the rise in the real world, but before we as a society could blink these (and other) horrible representations have become the defacto template for women and in so doing, the zeitgeist for our times.

In the end as a society, we must empower every member of our society and ask for everyone to be accountable. Do not say on the one hand you want a relationship like your grandparents, yet think and act nothing like them. Both women and men of generations past understood the value of working to fix problems instead of throwing things away, they thought of making the other person happy first instead of themselves, they were engaged to such a degree with their personal growth, family and community that they were able to build self-worth and not instead be consumed with the inevitable realization that their feelings of being “done”, “lost” and finding no meaning in life are the direct result of leading a meaningless existence. In short this is why far too many women today feel unsatisfied despite emulating the shallow me-first role models depicted all around them. Men in generations past might have been just as flawed as they are today, but they and their families still could grow because women were the backbone and level headed members that kept the good in our society together. If they tragically did not have rights or opportunities, what they did have was still a form of empowerment. What is more powerful then holding society together?

I will conclude by saying that I am an optimist and that I love women and the potential that exists for the future. If I did not love women I would not write a word because in this day and age it is a great time to be man with bad intentions and love the fact that “feminism” has made it easier than ever to take advantage of women by only offering them a half-heart compliment in order to bed them, promising them that there is nothing wrong with sexual promiscuity (and thus undermining their self-worth), conning them into believing  that money and labels are what makes the world (and thus enslaving them to it), and making them believe that relationships without meaningful commitments are ok because marriage (and the great implications, the stability, and securities for both women and children inherent within) are unnecessary. I am sorry, but I love women and humanity too much to keep quiet.

It is my hope that one day today’s “feminism” will turn into what I call “empowermentism” where women not only are free to have equal education, equal treatment, equal career and every opportunity that men are afforded, but at the same time that they realize that they should resist the quick fix which merely replicates the terrible traits of men, which in turn duplicates the world’s problems. The scope of this piece perhaps does not enable me to further flesh out all of the ways men and women can attain harmony, but it is a start and the goal is for all of us to live in a world where women have all of the positive opportunities and experiences they hope for, while also retaining the inner strength, substance, dignity, respect and self-worth that has existed within women for generations. In a way, being a star in the world, the backbone of one’s family, and being comfortable in one’s own skin and having self-respect is the most powerful form of empowerment there can be. I wait for the day where this vision can be realized, but I know that with work it can be.

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NFL PICKS- WEEK 3: CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND

19 Jan

NFL PICKS- WEEK 3: CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND

 

Ok with less than twenty minutes in the early game, I will dispense with the apologies and just post the picks.

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

Patriots (+5.5) OVER BRONCOS

Despite the score in the Indy game last week, the game was actually a lot closer than the final score would indicate. When the obvious tripping call by the Patriots was missed, the wheels completely fell off the Colts train. The Colts had to overcome a lot, and were still in the game except despite the obstacles. However, this week should be different. This week the Patriots are somehow the underdogs and I cannot recall the last time the Pats were actually the underdogs in a game and didn’t cover or win the game outright. I personally think the Pats will win this game late outright, but not to worry they are getting 5.5. points. Denver despite being the favorite were a missed 3-19 conversion in the fourth away from melting down in familiar Peyton Manning playoff fashion and if it was not for that converted 3 and 19 that they only converted due to injuries in the Chargers secondary, they would not even be playing in this game, as Rivers would have marched down the field, scored and the Broncos and shaky ground likely lose the game in Overtime. Point being, the Broncos were lucky to get the win and avoid the familiar Manning meltdown late. In this game take the points, and if feeling ballsy (but still sensible) take the Pats for the outright win.

49ers (+3.5) OVER SEAHAWKS

Look I know the history. The 49ers have gotten absolutely smoked the last two times they were in Seattle. However, people are only doomed to fail if they do not correct their past mistakes and the 49ers appear smart enough and talented enough to correct the problems that have befallen them in the past. It is very hard for me to envision a scenario in which the 49ers drop another big game to Seattle even if they and their fans have been known to literally cause earthquakes. This game figures to be close and I believe there is a chance the 49ers can win outright. Even if not there are points being given and for the first time the 49ers are a complete team and seem to have struck the perfect balance in all three phases of the game. Be smart and take the points.

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NFL PICKS: PLAYOFFS, WEEK 2

10 Jan

 

Ok so here we are, less than 24 hrs from another weekend of NFL PLAYOFF football. Last week was wall to wall so I will try to write as much as I can and weave them into my picks and do so as quickly as possible because I am running mad late….

So without further waiting here are the picks and HOME TEAM IN CAPS

 

Saints (+8) OVER SEAHAWKS

There is little questions the Seahawks aren’t solid and they boast the best record in the NFC. HOWEVER, I don’t believe it will be likely that the Saints with Sean Payton and Drew Brees will get blown out by the Seahawks, even if the game is in Seattle, twice in one season. In fact, I think the Saints will put together some magic and have a real shot at winning this game outright if their rag-tag defense can step up one time. Plus I think this whole Percy Harvin situation has become a distraction. However, on the plus side for gamblers everywhere, the Saints don’t even have to win for you to cash in, but the line son as you are getting 8 points!

49ers (pick) OVER PANTHERS

You may not know it, but San Fran has quietly become the second hottest team in the league. Ok so the number one hottest team are the Panthers, but San Fran has the pedigree and they looked super solid against the Packers last week. Yes, the Panthers have a suffocating D, but that’s pretty much all they have save a receiver-less Cam Newton. Not only does San Fran have D but they have a devastating and Michael Crabtree infused offense and a maniacal head coach all looking for revenge after their one point loss a couple of weeks ago.  This game screams 49ers so do it up right.

Chargers (+10) OVER BRONCOS

I don’t get how a team that beat another team that was at home can be a 10 point underdog in the exact same set of circumstances a couple of weeks later when a) they just thrashed the conference’s 3-seed who were undefeated at home and b) their opponents this week have a quarterback who stinks both in the playoffs and in the cold. Out of all the hoopla made over what a great fit Manning was for the Broncos, no one ever pointed out that even if they are the #1 seed , that they would have to play 3 outdoor games in the cold during the playoffs (with this year being 4 now that the Bowl is in NY). To be honest I think the Chargers snake this game late and win it outright, but again even if they don’t they have ten points to play with. Be smart take the Bolts.

Indy (+7.5) OVER PATRIOTS

Look I get that there is no team deadlier than the Pats in their first game of the playoffs. The Patriots have dominated the decade and even though they have not won a title since 2005 despite all their hype, there is something classic about these no-nonsense Randy Moss-less Pats. Not only that but they do not have to worry about playing against a tough Defense (something Brady hates) and they thrashed the Colts last year. But you know what they don’t have going against them? Andrew Luck. I have gone on the record last year that Luck should have won the MVP in his rookie year for what he did for the Colts. And this year? Well they should give him 2! I know the talking heads Luck like to slurp Manning and rag on Luck for his lack of eye popping stats, but as Cosmo Kramer once said, poise counts. And Luck has that in spades. He is leading a team with no other star other than Robert Mathis not only into the playoffs with an amazing record, but doing it while beating some of the most hyped and record-besting teams in the league (San Fran, Seattle, Denver, KC). The only real contender the Colts have not beaten is New England. Can they do it this weekend?I don’t know, but I’m gonna find out.

Actually I do know, or at least I think I do, and I say they win this game outright with a devastating 4th quarter drive by Luck or in some kind of miraculous blow out should Brady be forced to leave the game. Either way, highly unlikely they lose by more than 7.5.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL AND PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSiBILY

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WEEK 16 PICKS AND COMMENTARY

19 Dec

My apologies for not having posted some picks in a while. I have actually still been making picks and last week was able to cash in betting against the Lions and the Cowboys (I hope you were able too as well). Before I get to this week’s picks (I sweat I will post them), I just wanted to state something with the regards to my beloved Dallas Cowboys; They suck. People have been making a big stink about the three high profile games Dallas choked away to Detroit, Denver and now Green Bay, but I say, what else is new? This shit has been going on since 2005 when the Cowboys choked away a homecoming game against Washington when they were leading 13-0 late in the fourth. Since that time there have been at least 3 of these choke jobs a year and all in the biggest games of the year. So to the talking heads trying to make a story out of beating this dead story I say get a new story.

For Dez Bryant to walk off the field, I applaud that. If I was him I would have pulled down my pants, whipped out my junk and pissed all over the field. The Cowboys have been pissing all over their fans for a while now so it is about time a player actually had the guts to make a statement to management. As bad as Dallas’ season has been, they are somehow still in the hunt. But don’t let that fact fool you, they will miss the Playoffs while collapsing in some epic fashion. BET THAT.

Therefore until Dallas parts ways with Jason Garrett, the corpse known as Monte Kiffin (aka the worst defensive coordinator of all time), their terrible safeties and Miles Austin you can be sure that there is nothing but heartache in store for Cowboys fans. Luckily if you are smart you can still make money on this situation, and here we are

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

BRONZE PICK

Colts +7 OVER KC

The Chiefs epic slide will continue following their brief respite against the Raiders last week. Indy has made a point of winning games they were not supposed to, and with a bye inexplicably on the line for them, they should muster a competitive game out of this one. Even if they don’t take it outright, they should be competitive enough to get within seven .

SILVER PICK

Patriots +2.5 OVER RAVENS

The Patriots lost a heartbreaker over Miami. You think Tom Brady is losing two in a row with a bye on the line? Guess Again, be smart and take the Pats and the points.

GOLD PICK

REDSKINS +2.5 (+3) OVER COWBOYS

I know Dallas is fully expecting to blow the season against Philly, but that won’t stop them for trying to blow it a week early in Washington. At best the Cowboys win this game by 1, so play it safe and take the points. (if you want to feel really safe take  Washington @ +3 in case Dallas is able to snake the game with a late field goal)

 

BONUS PICK:EAGLES MONEYLINE- Yes, you won’t win a ton given that the Eagles are favored by three, but you can win something as Philly should still be able to take this game.

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NFL PICKS: WEEK 11

15 Nov

My apologies first off for not posting anything last week. However, I hope it was as obvious to you as it was to me, that the Dallas Cowboys were going to lose…and lose they did so hopefully you cleaned up. Anyway, without any further time wasted here or my picks for this week…HOME TEAM IN CAPS

 

Ravens +2.5 OVER BEARS

Yes, I know the Ravens are a shell of their former selves, but you know what, the Bears without Jay Cutler are not much better either. Yes, McCown looks ok, but this time I truly believe runs through Jay Cutler (I can’t even believe there is talk of the Bears letting Cutler walk at the end of the season). And again, while the Ravens have looked shaky this season, they did just get a big win against the division leading Bengals (feels weird to say), and this game could go along way in allowing them to catch. Be smart, take the points and hope the defending champs have enough intestinal fortitude to gut this one out.

Chiefs +9.5 OVER BRONCOS

It is an amazing thing when a 9-0 team is almost a double digit underdog, but here we are. Although the Broncos are amazing offensively, look at what the line in this game means, compare it to the Chiefs defense and tell me if it makes sense. It doesn’t right? The Chiefs do not let teams get more than 12 points a game for this line to hold true it means that the Chiefs are not going to score more than 2 points in this game. Hardly. As such, I would take the points and take the Chiefs not only because they figure to score more than a field goal, but because its getting pretty cold up there in Denver and we all know Manning has had trouble in cold weather late in the season.

BRONZE PICK

49ers +3.5 OVER SAINTS

Although the 49ers, had trouble last week against Carolina, the Saints defense is much worse than the Panthers. Not only that, but it is hard to image the defending NFC champs dropping two games in a row in a year they were projected to make the Superbowl. This game screams for you to take the 49ers and getting points, so much the better.

SILVER PICK

Falcons +1 OVER BUCS

Oh how the mighty have fallen. Look you probably know that I have always been anti-Falcons and anti-Texans because they are probably the two biggest fraud good teams in NFL history, but be that as it may the Falcons should still have enough left in the tank to beat a 1 win team this late in the season (and who got their 1 win just last week) and one that is still infected with turmoil and the coach formerly known as Greg Shiano (probably after this week). It’s only a point, but that point is enough, take the Falcons.

GOLD PICK

Patriots +1 OVER PANTHERS

Yes, the Patriots have had a few suspect games this season, but if you look at their record it speaks for itself. Good teams find a way to win ball games, and even though they have looked shaky at points in the season the Patriots are a good team (as opposed to the Dallas Cowboys who always find a way to give away games when they appear to be in control and are hence, a bad team). Gronkowski is back, and much to the sadness of my fantasy team led by Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen is also expected back. So although the Patriots are still hurting on defense, expect another classic Tom Brady does just enough to win games down there in Carolina.

 

GOOD LUCK AND PLEASE ENJOY THESE PICKS RESPONSIBLY

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NFL PICKS: WEEK 9

03 Nov

Hello all,

Busy week again. However I will just say the Vegas odds for Dallas -10.5 is INSANE. take the VIKINGS!!

 

333098+++-1

8

7:32am 31-Oct-13 10:00am 3-Nov-13 American Football
Handicap
Minnesota Vikings (+10.5) vs Dallas Cowboys for Game.   1.926 40.00 37.04 Pending
333098+++-2

9

7:32am 31-Oct-13 1:05pm 3-Nov-13 American Football
Handicap
Philadelphia Eagles vs Oakland Raiders (-1) for Game.   1.813 21.00 17.07 Pending
333098+++-3

10

7:32am 31-Oct-13 5:30pm 3-Nov-13 American Football
Handicap
Indianapolis Colts (-1) vs Houston Texans for Game.   1.806 21.00 16.94 Pending
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